STRAIT OF HORMUZ

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IRAN CAN UPSET WORLD OIL SHIPMENTS - GAS PRICES WOULD SOAR

It could be triggered says Iran, if the United States or Israel launches a pre-emptive strike on Iran to knock out nuclear and missile facilities. About 40 percent of all seaborne traded oil or 20 percent of all oil traded globally passes through the narrow channel. According to an Iranian press report from 12/4/2011, Chinese Maj. Gen. Zhang Zhaozhong said, “China will not hesitate to protect Iran even with a third World War.”


1/25/2012
- The full extent of Iran's nuclear work remains a mystery. A report by the United Nations Atomic Energy Commission highlighted a range of areas which had raised suspicions that Iran was pursuing nuclear weapons, despite Iran's repeated denials. It detailed 12 suspicious areas such as testing explosives in a steel container at a military base. Yukiya Amano, the International Atomic Energy Agency chief said previous efforts to verify whether all Iran's activities were for non-military purposes had been hindered by a lack of cooperation from Iran.

Iran has begun to enrich uranium at its Fordow plant, which is buried so deep within a mountain it may be impossible for warplanes or missiles to destroy. The Iranians are deliberately moving into safe zones where practically no surgical military bombing operation could stop them. The European Union recently agreed to an embargo on importing oil from Iran, and said it would phase in the sanctions over six months. Greece, Spain and Italy, the European Union’s three most vulnerable economies, account for more than 80 per cent of Iranian oil imports to Europe.

1/23/2012 IRAN -
Tensions in the Gulf could reach a breaking point as a senior Iranian official said Iran would “definitely” close the Strait of Hormuz if a European Union oil embargo disrupted the export of crude oil. Mohammad Kossari, deputy head of parliament's foreign affairs and national security committee, issued the warning in response to a decision by the European Union on Monday to impose an oil embargo on Iran over the country’s alleged nuclear weapons program. According to Revolutionary Guard commander Brigadier General Jafaari, "The enemy is far more advanced technologically than we are, we have been using what is called asymmetric warfare methods… our forces are now well prepared for it," The term asymmetric warfare is frequently used to describe what is called terrorism.

1/6/2012
- Iran said that another military exercise will be held in the same area of the Strait of Hormuz next month. 17 millions barrels of oil pass through the narrow channel every day.

1/6/2012 -The British Royal Navy sent its mightiest ship as show of force in the Gulf. The billion dollar destroyer carries the world's most sophisticated naval radar, capable of tracking multiple incoming threats from missiles to fighter jets.

iran strait hormuz us navy 5th fleet warriorsfortruth.com1/3/2012- Iran completed 10 days of naval exercises in the Gulf on Monday, and said during the drills that if foreign powers imposed sanctions on its crude exports it could shut the Strait of Hormuz, through which 40 percent of the world's traded oil is shipped.

<Photo Fifth Fleet Aircraft Carrier. The U.S. Fifth Fleet, which is based in Bahrain, said it would not allow shipping to be disrupted in the strait.

Earlier, Iran said it would take action if a U.S. aircraft carrier which left the area because of Iranian naval exercises returns to the Gulf. The state news agency IRNA quoted army chief Ataollah Salehi as saying that "Iran will not repeat its warning ... the enemy's carrier has been moved to the Sea of Oman because of our drill. I recommend and emphasize to the American carrier not to return to the Persian Gulf."

iran navy hormuz strait warriorsfortruth.com12/24/2011 -<see photo) Iran's navy began a 10-day drill in international waters near the strategic oil route that passes through the Strait of Hormuz. Submarines, surface-to-sea missile systems, missile-launching vessels, torpedoes and drones will be employed in the maneuvers.

12/12/2011 - A member of the Iranian parliament's National Security Committee said the military was set to practice its ability to close the Gulf to shipping at the narrow Strait of Hormuz, the most important oil transit channel in the world. Parviz Sarvari, told the student news agency ISNA: "Soon we will hold a military maneuver on how to close the Strait of Hormuz. If the world wants to make the region insecure, we will make the world insecure." Contacted by Reuters, a spokesman for the Iranian military declined to comment.

6/27/2011 Iran tested 1,200 mile range missiles capable of hitting Israeli and US installations. Iran says it will target U.S. interests and Israel if their nuclear facilities are attacked.

6/3/2010
-
Israel sent a nuclear missile carrying sub to Persian Gulf for full time duty.

5/31/2010 -
The International Atomic Energy Agency reports that Iran has amassed more than two tons of enriched uranium enough for two nuclear warheads. Iran says it is only pursuing civilian nuclear energy. 6/2010- Saudi Arabia permits Israel jets to fly over.

3/20/2009
Two U.S. Navy vessels one a nuclear-powered submarine and the other an amphibious ship collided before dawn in the mouth of the Persian Gulf, one of the world's most important sea passages for oil supplies. There was no damage to the sub's nuclear propulsion system and no disruption to shipping in the strategic Strait of Hormuz, said Navy spokesman Lt. Nate Christensen, with the Bahrain-based 5th Fleet. Military analyst Loren Thompson of the U.S.-based Lexington Institute said a collision between two vessels in the world's most sophisticated navy is nearly unheard of. It's more common for ships of different navies to collide, or military vessels and commercial ships, he said.

8/4/2008 News - Iran said it had successfully test-fired an anti-ship missile with a range of 300km that would allow it to close the Strait of Hormuz between Iran and Oman. "Given the equipment our armed forces have, an indefinite blockade of the Strait of Hormuz would be very easy," said the commander of the elite Revolutionary Guards, General Mohammad Ali Jafari. Pentagon press secretary Geoff Morrell said that any move by Iran to close the Strait of Hormuz would be "self-defeating" because its economy is so heavily dependent on income from oil exports.

January 2008 U.S. Navy Harassed By Iranian Speed Boats
1-8-08 Small Iranian fast boats swarmed around massive U.S. warships in the Persian Gulf, and a man speaking heavily accented English threatened, "I am coming to you. ... You will explode," according to a video released by the Pentagon. The Iranian boats appeared to ignore repeated warnings from the U.S. ships, including horn blasts and radio transmissions, as the ships moved through the Strait of Hormuz into the Gulf. In the video, shot from the bridge of the destroyer USS Hopper, the small boats, including a bright blue one, can be seen racing near the wake the U.S. ships and crossing close to each other. The smaller boats obviously wanted the US to open fire on them so Iran would have an excuse to blame the US for attacking "innocent boats". They would do that because they want the whole entire world to turn against the US.

The Strait of Hormuz is a narrow, strategically important stretch of ocean between the Gulf of Oman in the southeast and the Persian Gulf in the southwest. On the north coast is Iran (Persia) and on the south coast is the United Arab Emirates and an exclave of Oman. The strait at its narrow point is 21 miles wide, with two 1 mile wide channels for marine traffic separated by a 2 mile wide buffer zone and is the only sea passage to the open ocean for large areas of the petroleum exporting Persian Gulf States.

Strait-of-Hormuz-Iran Oil Shipments Choke Point


Satellite Photo of Narrow Channel in the Strait of Hormuz near Iran
Iran-Straits-of-Hormuz

July 2007 The Navy confirmed the departure of nuclear-powered USS Enterprise from it's home port of Norfolk, Virginia, with about 5,500 Sailors and Marines. The Enterprise will provide "power to counter the assertive, disruptive and coercive behavior of some countries, as well as support for our Soldiers and Marines in Iraq and Afghanistan," said Vice Admiral Vice Admiral Kevin J. Cosgriff, the commander of the Bahrain-based U.S. 5th Fleet. Cosgriff did not specify which nations he was alluding to, but the carrier's move came amid heightened tensions with Iran, which lies along the strategic Strait of Hormuz.

Aug 22, 2006
Iran attacked and seized control of a Romanian oil rig working in its Persian Gulf waters. The Iranians fired at the rig's crane with machine guns. The Romanian company has 26 workers on the platform. Iran urged the United Arab Emirates last week to help it return another oil rig owned and operated by the Romanian company in the same waters close to the Straits of Hormuz, through which 20 percent of the world's daily oil supply moves on tankers.

July 3, 2006 WASHINGTON - The U.S. Navy's top commander in the Gulf told Reuters in an interview   that the U.S. military would ensure the free flow of oil and trade through the Strait of Hormuz sea corridor if passage was threatened. Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei warned last month that oil exports in the Gulf region could be seriously endangered if Washington made a wrong move over Iran. Iranian officials have in the past ruled out using oil as a weapon in the nuclear standoff with the West, but Khamenei's comments suggest Iran could change tack if pushed. In April, Iran staged naval wargames in the Gulf and tested a "super-modern flying boat" and the land-to-sea Kowsar missile that military analysts say is designed to sink ships and threaten passage through the Strait of Hormuz.

March 2006- Iran's Revolutionary Guards are making preparations for a massive assault on U.S. naval forces and international shipping in the Persian Gulf, according to a former Iranian intelligence officer who defected to the West in 2001.

The plans, which include the use of bottom-tethered mines potentially capable of destroying U.S. aircraft carriers, were designed to counter a U.S. land invasion and to close the Strait of Hormuz, the defector said in a phone interview from his home in Europe. They would also be triggered if the United States or Israel launched a pre-emptive strike on Iran to knock out nuclear and missile facilities. "The plan is to stop trade," the source said.

Between 15 and 16.5 million barrels of oil transit the Strait of Hormuz each day, roughly 20 percent of the world's daily oil production, according to the U.S. government's Energy Information Administration.

The source provided NewsMax parts of a more than 30-page contingency plan, which bears the stamp of the Strategic Studies Center of the Iranian Navy, NDAJA. The document appears to have been drafted in Sept or Oct of 2005

NEWS ARCHIVES - STRAIT OF HORMUZ - On 18 April 1988, the U.S. Navy waged a one-day battle against Iranian forces in and around the strait. The battle, dubbed Operation Praying Mantis by the U.S. side, was launched in retaliation for the April 14th mining of the USS Samuel B. Roberts. U.S. forces sank 2 Iranian warships and 6 armed speedboats in the engagement.

The NDAJA document was just one part of a larger strike plan to be coordinated by a single operational headquarters that would integrate Revolutionary Guards missile units, strike aircraft, surface and underwater naval vessels, Chinese-supplied C-801 and C-802 anti-shipping missiles, mines, coastal artillery, as well as chemical, biological and nuclear weapons.

The overall plans are being coordinated by the intelligence office of the Ministry of Defense, known as HFADA.

Revolutionary Guards missile units have identified "more than 100 targets, including Saudi oil production and oil export centers," the defector said. "They have more than 45 to 50 Shahab-3 and Shahab-4 missiles ready for shooting" against those targets and against Israel, he added.

The defector, Hamid Reza Zakeri, warned the CIA in July 2001 that Iran was preparing a massive attack on America using Arab terrorists flying airplanes, which he said was planned for Sept. 11, 2001. The CIA dismissed his claims and called him a fabricator.

The source also identified a previously unknown nuclear weapons site last year to this writer, which was independently confirmed by three separate intelligence agencies.

NewsMax showed the defector's documents to two native Persian-speakers who each have more than 20 years of experience analyzing intelligence documents from the Islamic Republic regime. They believed the documents were authentic.

A U.S. military intelligence official, while unable to authenticate the documents without seeing them, recognized the Strategic Studies Center and noted that the individual whose name appears as the author of the plan, Abbas Motaj, was head of the Iranian navy until late 2005.

A former Revolutionary Guards officer, contacted by News Max in Europe, immediately recognized the Naval Strategic Studies institute from its Persian-language acronym, NDAJA. He provided independent information on recent deployments of Shahab-3 missiles that coincided with information contained in the NDAJA plan.

The Iranian contingency plan is summarized in an "Order of Battle" map, which schematically lays out Iran's military and strategic assets and how they will be used against U.S. military forces from the Strait of Hormuz up to Busheir.

The map identifies three major areas of operations, called "mass kill zones," where Iranian strategists believe they can decimate a U.S.-led invasion force before it actually enters the Persian Gulf.

The kill zones run from the low-lying coast just to the east of Bandar Abbas, Iran's main port that sits in the bottleneck of the Strait of Hormuz, to the ports of Jask and Shah Bahar on the Indian Ocean, beyond the Strait.

Behind the kill zones are strategic missile launchers labeled as "area of chemical operations," "area of biological warfare operations," and "area where nuclear operations start."

Iran's overall battle management will be handled through C4I and surveillance satellites. It is unclear in the documents shared with NewsMax whether this refers to commercial satellites or satellite intelligence obtained from allies, such as Russia or China. Iran has satellite cooperation programs with both nations.

The map is labeled "the current status of military forces in the Persian Gulf and the Strait of Hormuz, 1384." 1384 is the Iranian year that ends on March 20, 2006.

Iran plans to begin offensive operations by launching successive waves of explosives-packed boats against U.S. warships in the Gulf, piloted by "Ashura" or suicide bombers.

The first wave can draw on more than 1,000 small fast-attack boats operated by the Revolutionary Guards navy, equipped with rocket launchers, heavy machine-guns and possibly Sagger anti-tank missiles.

In recent years, the Iranians have used these small boats to practice "swarming" raids on commercial vessels and U.S. warships patrolling the Persian Gulf.

The White House listed two such attacks in the list of 10 foiled al-Qaida terrorist attacks it released on Feb. 10.
The attacks were identified as a "plot by al-Qaida operatives to attack ships in the [Persian] Gulf" in early 2003, and a separate plot to "attack ships in the Strait of Hormuz."

A second wave of suicide attacks would be carried out by "suicide submarines" and semi-submersible boats, before Iran deploys its Russian-built Kilo-class submarines and Chinese-built Huodong missile boats to attack U.S. warships, the source said. The 114-foot Chinese boats are equipped with advanced radar-guided C-802s, a sea-skimming cruise-missile with a 60-mile range against which many U.S. naval analysts believe there is no effective defense.

When Iran first tested the sea-launched C-802s a decade ago, Vice Admiral Scott Redd, then commander of U.S. naval forces in the Gulf, called them "a new dimension ... of the Iranian threat to shipping."

Admiral Redd was appointed to head the National Counterterrorism Center last year.

Iran's naval strategists believe the U.S. will attempt to land ground forces to the east of Bandar Abbas. Their plans call for extensive use of ground-launched tactical missiles, coastal artillery, as swell as strategic missiles aimed at Saudi Arabia and Israel tipped with chemical, biological and possibly nuclear warheads.

The Iranians also plan to lay huge minefields across the Persian Gulf inside the Strait of Hormuz, effectively trapping ships that manage to cross the Strait before they can enter the Gulf, where they can be destroyed by coastal artillery and land-based "Silkworm" missile batteries.

Today, Iran has sophisticated EM-53 bottom-tethered mines, which it purchased from China in the 1990s. The EM-53 presents a serious threat to major U.S. surface vessels, since its rocket-propelled charge is capable of hitting the hull of its target at speeds in excess of 70 miles per hour. Some analysts believe it can knock out a U.S. aircraft carrier.

The Joint Chiefs of Staff has been warning about Iran's growing naval buildup in the Persian Gulf for over a decade, and in a draft presidential finding submitted to President Clinton in late February 1995, concluded that Iran already had the capability to close the Strait of Hormuz.

"I think it would be problematic for any navy to face a combination of mines, small boats, anti-ship cruise missiles, torpedoes, coastal artillery, and Silkworms," said retired Navy Commander Joseph Tenaglia, CEO of Tactical Defense Concepts, a maritime security company. "This is a credible threat."

In Tenaglia's view, "the major problem will be the mines. Naval minefields are hard to locate and to sweep," and the United States has few minesweepers. "It's going to be like running the gauntlet getting through there," he said.

When Iran last mined the Gulf, in 1987-1988, several U.S. ships and reflagged Kuwaiti oil tankers were hit, even though the mines they used were similar to those used in the Battle of Gallipoli in 1915, Tenaglia said.

The biggest challenge facing Iran today would be to actually lay the mines without getting caught. "If they are successful in getting mines into the water, it's going to take us months to get them out," Tenaglia said.

Iran Readies Plan to Close Strait of Hormuz Kenneth R. Timmerman, NewsMax.com Wednesday, March 1, 2006
http://www.newsmax.com/archives/articles/2006/2/28/181730.shtml?s=lh

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IRAN STRAITS OF HORMUZ PERSIAN GULF